RESUMO
Since late 2019, most efforts to control the COVID-19 pandemic have focused on developing vaccines. By mid-2020, some vaccines fulfilled international regulations for their application. However, these vaccines have shown a decline in effectiveness several weeks after the last dose, highlighting the need to optimize vaccine administration due to supply chain limitations. While methods exist to prioritize population groups for vaccination, there is a lack of research on how to optimally define the time between doses when two-dose vaccines are administrated to such groups. Under such conditions, modeling the real effect of each vaccine on the population is critical. Even though several efforts have been made to characterize vaccine effectiveness profiles, none of these initiatives enable characterization of the individual effect of each dose. Thus, this paper presents a novel methodology for estimating the vaccine effectiveness profile. It addresses the vaccine characterization problem by considering a deconvolution of relevant data profiles, treating them as an optimization process. The results of this approach enabled the independent estimation of the effectiveness profiles for the first and second vaccine doses and their use to find sweet spots for designing efficient vaccination strategies. Our methodology can enable a more effective and efficient contemporary response against the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as for any other disease in the future.
RESUMO
In this work, a quantitative spectroscopic study of the bleaching phenomena occurring in plasticized formulations containing poly(vinyl chloride) was performed, proposing a general methodology to comparatively analyze the effect of degrading conditions on the polyene accumulation behaviors (PABs) exhibited by a set of tested formulations. In the study, a set of environmental indexes (temperature (T*), UV energy (UV*), and days with rain) were proposed, which allowed for the suitable globalization of the changing environmental conditions occurring throughout the different degrading periods. A procedure to numerically describe the PAB, followed by each formulation undergoing each degrading condition was also proposed, which required only two primary fitting parameters and four secondary fitting parameters. Then, the combined effects of certain environmental conditions on the PABs were studied, quantifying the stabilizing effects of the rain and the combined decrement on the T* and UV* indexes. Finally, on the basis of the proposed fitting equation and the values of its fitting parameters, the relative importance of the dehydrochlorination reactions as compared with the photo-oxidative reactions simultaneously occurring in the studied systems was estimated.
